20:51:52 UTC
LIVEHBAR $0.08278 (3 SRC)OKX 0.08288COINBASE 0.08278KRAKEN 0.08272TPS 2.7BLOCK #101,206,52024H -2.45%REGIME RANGINGρ -0.011P(UP 2H) 15.9%
HBAR SPOT · LIVE
$0.08278
-2.39% 24h · composite
24H VOLUME · LIVE
$5.43M
USD notional · rolling
MAINNET TX / 5M · LIVE
801
2.67 tps · rolling
TESTNET TX / 5M · LIVE
3,681
12.27 tps · rolling
PRICE TREND
-0.084%
per hour · 4h fit
ACTIVITY TREND
-19.08%
per hour · 4h fit
F1

Network Activity × HBAR Price · 5m blocks

20:4503:4110:3820:5007,00014,00021,00028,0000.08200.08400.08600.08800.0900
MAINNET TX / 5MTESTNET TX / 5MHBAR/USD
F1.A

Network Activity · tx / 5m

20:4503:4110:3820:4507,00014,00021,00028,000
MAINNETTESTNET
F1.B

Throughput · TPS

20:4503:4110:3820:500.025.050.075.0100.0
MAINNETTESTNET
F1.C

Relativity · Testnet as % of Mainnet · tx / 5m

LATEST 457.3%
20:4503:4110:3820:450.0%500.0%1000.0%1500.0%2000.0%

DISCLAIMER · All cones, probabilities, trends and correlations shown here are purely statistical regressions on historical network and price data. They are not price predictions, forecasts, or opinions as to future price movement, and are not financial or investment advice.

F2.A

HBAR Price Cone · 2H

16:4518:1619:4822:450.07980.08090.08190.08290.0840
2H TARGET
$0.08176
95% RANGE
$0.07989 – $0.08367
P(HIGHER)
15.9%

Drift = α + β·(expected activity growth); σ blends residual price noise with activity-driven variance. Inner band 68%, outer 95%.

F2.B

Mainnet Activity Cone · 2H

16:4518:1619:4822:45015,00030,00045,00060,000
2H TARGET
801
95% RANGE
13 – 48,531
P(HIGHER)
49.4%

Log-normal random walk on transactions per 5m, drift and volatility from the trailing 8 hours.

V1

Daily Vibe · 2026-10-16

BULLISHSCORE +65
Hedera Sentiment Remains Bullish Despite Minor Daily Pullback

Despite a slight 2.74% price dip, market sentiment for HBAR remains strongly positive. Investors continue to focus on institutional adoption, increasing ETF inflows, and expansion of the Hedera Governing Council.

  • › Increased institutional ETF inflows
  • › Expansion of council partnerships
  • › Long-term tokenization potential
▲11 · ■3 · ▼2 STORIES
A1

Breakout Alerts

PRICE ▼ CONEabout 5 hours ago
HBAR broke below its 95% cone: $0.08415 vs $0.08436 at 12:05 PM ET
TPS THRESHOLDabout 6 hours ago
Mainnet TPS broke above today's key threshold: 19.53 vs 19.43 (24h P95) at 11:05 AM ET
PRICE ▼ CONEabout 6 hours ago
HBAR broke below its 95% cone: $0.08466 vs $0.08494 at 11:05 AM ET
F3

Correlation Engine

ROLLING ρ · 2H WINDOW · RETURNS
LEAD / LAG CROSS-CORRELATION (×5m)
-6-5-4-3-2-10123456
ρ RETURNS (Δtx vs Δpx)-0.011
ρ LEVELS (tx vs px)-0.229
β PRICE ON PRIOR Δtx-0.0007
R² (LAG-1 MODEL)0.016
STRONGEST LINKActivity leads 15m · -0.114
ANN. VOL PRICE / TX (DAILY)4.1% / 725.3%
N1

Hedera Wire

BING NEWSOct 16, 2026 · 5:12 AM · about 16 hours ago
Inflation Fears Pressure Markets, 5 Altcoins in Focus: APT, SUI, SEI, NEAR, HBAR
Persistent price pressures could keep interest rate concerns elevated and weigh on risk-sensitive assets.APT, SUI, SEI, NEAR, and HBAR may respond differently d ...
BING NEWSOct 16, 2026 · 4:28 AM · about 16 hours ago
HBAR Price Prediction: Resistance Test at $0.09 as Momentum Stalls and October Range Comes Into Focus
Hedera (HBAR) advanced 5.65% in the 24 hours to October 16, 2026, pushing spot price on Binance to $0.09 — the same level listed as both immediate ...
MAKETOOct 16, 2026 · 2:27 AM · about 18 hours agoBULLISH
Canary HBAR ETF (HBR) Flows
The Canary HBAR ETF (HBR) has accumulated $114 million in total inflows since its launch, with $1.4 million in trading volume recorded as of October 15, 2026.
DEFILLAMAOct 16, 2026 · 12:00 AM · about 21 hours agoNEUTRAL
Hedera - DeFi TVL, Fees, & Revenue - DefiLlama
As of October 16, 2026, Hedera's Total Value Locked (TVL) stands at $33.27 million, reflecting a 2.73% decrease over the last 24 hours. The network recorded 842,162 transactions in the same period with HBAR trading at approximately $0.083.
BING NEWSOct 15, 2026 · 11:49 AM · 1 day ago
Hedera Builders Expand into Gaming and AI, Says CryptoTwitter
Hedera news reveals developers are focusing on gaming and AI projects. This shift signals industry growth and innovation.
BING NEWSOct 15, 2026 · 11:26 AM · 1 day ago
$0.26 Call Emerges As HBAR Retraced After 100% Bounce
Hedera is poised to rally $0.26 in November, one seasoned analyst states. Another take offers a glimpse of hope following HBAR’s 100% price bounce.
BING NEWSOct 15, 2026 · 4:40 AM · 1 day ago
HBAR Price Prediction: $0.08 Floor Holds for Now, But the Path to $0.131 Runs Through Bitcoin
Hedera fell 5.71% to $0.08 in early trading on October 15, 2026, pushing price into a confluence of the 200-day SMA, lower Bollinger Band, and all ...
SOURCES · HEDERA MIRROR NODE (MAINNET + TESTNET) · COINBASE HBAR-USD · 356 SNAPSHOTS · STATISTICAL REGRESSIONS ONLY · NOT PRICE PREDICTIONS OR FINANCIAL ADVICE